Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 11:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.44) 1.02 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 34.2% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.1%
0 - 0
20.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0 20.7% 21.1% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack23%54%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%40%36%17%20%18%
Draws0%0%0%33%40%36%
Loses67%60%64%50%40%45%

Form: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWLLLWL • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
GF total6713358
GF avg1.01.41.20.51.00.7
GA total89179413
GA avg1.31.81.51.50.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%36%45%
1.536%45%9%45%
2.527%36%9%18%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Wins21
Draws02
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-41-00-5
Biggest losses0-33-00-42-0
Goals For3415
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Form30%70%
Att30%70%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.11 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 0.55 (league 1.44), Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 1.02 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0 20.7% 21.1% 10.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 46.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1