Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.41) 0.46 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 38.6% 18.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.9%
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0 26.9% 12.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack25%63%
Defense56%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins20%0%8%33%17%25%
Draws60%0%25%33%17%25%
Loses20%100%67%33%67%50%

Form: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: LDLLDLLLDLWL • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total33611617
GF avg0.60.40.51.81.01.4
GA total31619111223
GA avg0.62.31.61.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%83%75%92%
1.58%50%42%50%
2.50%25%25%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score257123

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Wins12
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-03-55-0
Goals For1233
Goals Against1355

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Nujeidat AhmedHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = 0.85 (league 1.41), Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 0.46 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0 26.9% 12.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.9% 10.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 18.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1