Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.41) 2.93 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 8.5% 81.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.7%
0 - 3
16.3%
0 - 4
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0 3.9% 11.4% 16.7% 16.3% 11.9% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack21%86%
Defense7%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%75%75%75%
Draws0%13%6%13%13%13%
Loses75%63%69%13%13%13%

Form: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWLLLWLLLLLD • Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWDWWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
GF total7916171633
GF avg0.91.11.02.12.02.1
GA total1515307411
GA avg1.91.91.90.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%81%81%56%
1.525%56%63%13%
2.519%44%44%0%
3.56%6%13%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score448123

Penalties

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Wins24
Draws01
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-01-5
Biggest losses0-43-00-11-0
Goals For3435
Goals Against4321

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Tirat HaCarmelMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Form7%93%
Att20%80%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total15.3%84.8%

Advice: Winner : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.30 @ 1xBet
Draw4.90 @ Marathonbet
Away1.43 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 0.32 (league 1.41), Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 2.93 (league 1.30)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0 3.9% 11.4% 16.7% 16.3% 11.9% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 3.8% 2.2%
2 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 81.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1