Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 •
Kwaraa Stadium
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.36)
0.36 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.6% | 49.9% | 19.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.9%
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 1
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mtibwa Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fountain Gate | 0 | 41.9% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 50% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 43% | 10% | 24% | 50% | 0% | 28% |
| Draws | 14% | 30% | 24% | 30% | 63% | 44% |
| Loses | 43% | 60% | 53% | 20% | 38% | 28% |
Form: Fountain Gate: LLLWDWLWLLDDLLWDL • Mtibwa Sugar: LWDDLDWDDWWWDLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 71% | 61% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 35% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Fountain Gate or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fountain Gate
vs
Mtibwa Sugar
Expected goals
0.51
Fountain Gate xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
0.87
0.36
Mtibwa Sugar xG
League Avg: 0.93
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.6%
Draw
49.9%
Away
19.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
41.9%
Tip
1 - 0
21.5%
Tip
0 - 1
14.9%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
34%
Chance
3.5+
24%
Chance
BTTS
53%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fountain Gate = 0.51 (league 1.36), Mtibwa Sugar = 0.36 (league 0.93)
| Mtibwa Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fountain Gate | 0 | 41.9% | 14.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 49.9% · Away win 19.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1