Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:45 •
Estadio El Pilar
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.50)
0.83 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 34.9% | 33.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Escobedo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 19.5% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 47% |
| Defense | 87% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 46% | 50% | 77% | 46% | 62% |
| Draws | 23% | 31% | 27% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 46% | 35% |
Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWLWDWD • Escobedo: WWDWLWLWWWLLWWLLWWWWLWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 18 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarnizo | Escobedo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 54% | 81% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 15% | 54% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 35% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 12% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escobedo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 23% | 77% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Escobedo and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 0.80 (league 1.50), Escobedo = 0.83 (league 1.15)
| Escobedo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 19.5% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 33.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
