Sat, Apr 18 2026 ā¢ 15:00 ā¢
Estadio El Pilar
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.50)
0.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4% | 24.1% | 6.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 7% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 92% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 60% | 53% | 57% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 23% | 27% | 13% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 60% | 73% | 67% |
Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWLWDWDWWWW ā¢ Noja: LLDDLLWDLLLWWLLDDLLWLLLLLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarnizo | Noja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 47% | 47% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 13% | 13% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 10% | 3% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarnizo | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 93% | 7% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 93% | 7% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 78.3% | 21.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Guarnizo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
š
League standings
Loading standingsā¦
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Guarnizo
vs
Noja
Expected goals
1.54
Guarnizo xG
League Avg: 1.50
Total
1.85
0.30
Noja xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
68.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away
6.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
24.4%
Tip
2 - 0
18.8%
Tip
0 - 0
15.8%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
šØ Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (Ī»): Guarnizo = 1.54 (league 1.50), Noja = 0.30 (league 1.15)
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.4% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% Ā· Draw 24.1% Ā· Away win 6.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1