Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.50)
1.06 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 27.9% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Deusto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 9.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 13% | 33% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 50% | 47% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Draws | 14% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 43% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 47% |
Form: Leioa: LWWLLDWWDWWLLDW • Deusto: LLDLLDWWLDWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Deusto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 47% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 13% | 13% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deusto and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.01 @ Pinnacle
Away4.15 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.56 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Leioa
vs
Deusto
Expected goals
1.27
Leioa xG
League Avg: 1.50
Total
2.33
1.06
Deusto xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away
30.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
1 - 0
12.3%
Tip
0 - 1
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Leioa = 1.27 (league 1.50), Deusto = 1.06 (league 1.10)
| Deusto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 9.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 30.9%
vtt 2 , vtd1