Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 •
Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.50)
2.04 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 18.0% | 72.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.7%
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 3
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pasaia KE | 0 | 8.0% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 45% |
| Defense | 18% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 24% | 45% | 40% | 43% |
| Draws | 36% | 10% | 24% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
| Loses | 64% | 40% | 52% | 45% | 40% | 43% |
Form: Pasaia KE: WLWDWDWLLLLWDLLLLLLDD • Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 9 | 25 | 9 | 18 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pasaia KE | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 71% | 76% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 29% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 14% | 14% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pasaia KE | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 31.2% | 68.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derio
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.00 @ Betano
Away2.50 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Pasaia KE
vs
Derio
Expected goals
0.48
Pasaia KE xG
League Avg: 1.50
Total
2.53
2.04
Derio xG
League Avg: 1.10
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.6%
Draw
18.0%
Away
72.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
16.7%
Tip
0 - 1
16.4%
Tip
0 - 3
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Pasaia KE = 0.48 (league 1.50), Derio = 2.04 (league 1.10)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pasaia KE | 0 | 8.0% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 72.6%
vtt 2 , vtd1