Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Canaleja
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.43)
2.69 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.0% | 17.7% | 54.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
6.9%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trival Valderas | 0 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 75% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 42% | 43% | 55% | 58% | 57% |
| Draws | 27% | 0% | 13% | 36% | 17% | 26% |
| Loses | 27% | 58% | 43% | 9% | 25% | 17% |
Form: Trival Valderas: WLLLLWLDWLWDLWLLWLWDWWW • A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDWWWLDWWWDWLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 23 | 36 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 65% | 91% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 43% | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 43% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trival Valderas | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or A Madrid III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Trival Valderas = 1.67 (league 1.43), A Madrid III = 2.69 (league 1.23)
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trival Valderas | 0 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 54.0%
vtt 3 , vtd1