Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.36)
0.90 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevilla III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 92% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 83% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 17% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDWWDDWD • Sevilla III: WWLLDLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 4 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 67% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 17% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 8% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 90% | 10% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ciudad de Lucena or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ciudad de Lucena = 2.97 (league 1.36), Sevilla III = 0.90 (league 1.01)
| Sevilla III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 8.3%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1