Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio San Miguel
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.30)
0.78 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | 27.5% | 21.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0 | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 30% | 15% |
| Defense | 70% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 36% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Draws | 50% | 38% | 43% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 21% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
Form: Atlético Pulpileño: DDLDWWWDDWLWDL • El Palmar: LLLDDLWDWLDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 64% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 21% | 33% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Pulpileño | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Pulpileño or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Pulpileño = 1.40 (league 1.30), El Palmar = 0.78 (league 1.02)
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0 | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 21.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1