Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.31)
0.95 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.8% | 30.9% | 32.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Caravaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palmar | 0 | 13.7% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 17% | 27% | 22% | 36% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 25% | 27% | 26% | 45% | 42% | 43% |
| Loses | 58% | 45% | 52% | 18% | 58% | 39% |
Form: El Palmar: LLLDDLWDWLDWWLDLLLDLWLL • UD Caravaca: LWDLLLLDDLWLWDDDLDDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 9 | 20 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palmar | UD Caravaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 78% | 65% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 26% | 26% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 4% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palmar | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or UD Caravaca and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Palmar = 1.04 (league 1.31), UD Caravaca = 0.95 (league 1.01)
| UD Caravaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palmar | 0 | 13.7% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 32.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1