Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 18:30 •
Estadio CD Azuaga
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45)
1.02 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 24.5% | 23.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Azuaga | 0 | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 38% | 57% | 14% | 36% |
| Draws | 38% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 57% | 43% |
| Loses | 13% | 40% | 23% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
Form: Azuaga: WDDLLWWDDWWDL • Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Azuaga | Moralo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 69% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Azuaga | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Moralo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Azuaga = 1.65 (league 1.45), Moralo = 1.02 (league 1.08)
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Azuaga | 0 | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 23.2%
vtt 4 , vtd1
