Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:30 •
Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.43)
1.28 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Villafranca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 0% | 20% | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 86% | 67% | 14% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 13% | 14% | 13% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
Form: Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDWDDDW • Villafranca: DWWLWDLWLLDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jerez | Villafranca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 40% | 27% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jerez | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Jerez or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jerez = 2.53 (league 1.43), Villafranca = 1.28 (league 1.12)
| Villafranca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 17.4%
vtt 4 , vtd1