Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.47)
2.56 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.9% | 16.8% | 64.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Don Benito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 20% | 71% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 47% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 14% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWL • Don Benito: LWWWDWWDDWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Don Benito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 93% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 53% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 27% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 6-1 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 42.2% | 58.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Don Benito
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.09 (league 1.47), Don Benito = 2.56 (league 1.09)
| Don Benito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 64.6%
vtt 3 , vtd1