Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Isla Anguiano
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.55)
1.62 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.2% | 24.3% | 60.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 2
13.8%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anguiano | 0 | 10.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 36% | 82% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 43% | 50% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| Draws | 29% | 57% | 43% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
Form: Anguiano: DWDDWWDWDWLDWW • Varea: DWWWWDWLWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Anguiano | Varea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 43% | 86% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 14% | 57% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Anguiano | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Varea and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away3.20 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Anguiano = 0.63 (league 1.55), Varea = 1.62 (league 1.27)
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anguiano | 0 | 10.5% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 60.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
