Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.31)
0.98 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 26.7% | 25.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Pedroñeras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 13% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
| Draws | 30% | 44% | 37% | 56% | 30% | 42% |
| Loses | 30% | 56% | 42% | 33% | 70% | 53% |
Form: Villarrobledo: LDDLLWDDLWLLLWLDWDD • Pedroñeras: LDDLWLDLDLLDLDLDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 63% | 63% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 37% | 16% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 21% | 5% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Pedroñeras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Villarrobledo or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.07 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villarrobledo = 1.43 (league 1.31), Pedroñeras = 0.98 (league 0.98)
| Pedroñeras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 25.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
