Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Juan Carlos I
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.31)
1.43 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 27.0% | 54.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
12.3%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 12.0% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 90% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 60% | 64% | 62% | 40% | 82% | 62% |
| Draws | 30% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 24% |
| Loses | 10% | 36% | 24% | 10% | 18% | 14% |
Form: Manchego: LWLWWDWWWWWDLDWWWWLLW • Tarancón: DWDWLWDLDWWWWWWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 24 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchego | Tarancón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 67% | 86% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 52% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 10% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchego | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Manchego or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Manchego
vs
Tarancón
Expected goals
0.69
Manchego xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
2.12
1.43
Tarancón xG
League Avg: 0.98
1x2 probabilities
Home
17.9%
Draw
27.0%
Away
54.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
17.2%
Tip
0 - 2
12.3%
Tip
0 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Manchego = 0.69 (league 1.31), Tarancón = 1.43 (league 0.98)
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 12.0% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 54.7%
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