Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.48)
0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.5% | 21.7% | 15.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Şahdağ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 89% | 67% | 44% | 33% | 39% |
| Draws | 56% | 11% | 33% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 56% | 39% |
Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDWWW • Şahdağ: WLLDWLWLLLDDWWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 18 | 9 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 56% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 17% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 0% | 17% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-8 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Safa Baku or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ Betano
Draw5.16 @ Pinnacle
Away10.50 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ BetVictor
No1.73 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Safa Baku
vs
Şahdağ
Expected goals
1.90
Safa Baku xG
League Avg: 1.48
Total
2.72
0.82
Şahdağ xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
61.5%
Draw
21.7%
Away
15.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
12.6%
Tip
2 - 0
11.9%
Tip
1 - 1
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 1.90 (league 1.48), Şahdağ = 0.82 (league 1.22)
| Şahdağ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 15.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1