Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.48)
0.96 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 30.9% | 32.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Səbail | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 13.7% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 73% |
| Attack | 83% | 44% |
| Defense | 61% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 80% | 65% | 55% | 44% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 10% | 30% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 0% | 10% | 5% | 18% | 11% | 15% |
Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDWWWWL • Səbail: WWWDWDWDLWDLWDLDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 26 | 45 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Safa Baku | Səbail | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 95% | 55% | 70% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 20% | 45% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 5% | 15% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-8 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-2 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Safa Baku | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Safa Baku or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Bet365
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away4.50 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Safa Baku
vs
Səbail
Expected goals
1.03
Safa Baku xG
League Avg: 1.48
Total
1.99
0.96
Səbail xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.3%
Draw
30.9%
Away
32.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.1%
Tip
0 - 0
13.7%
Tip
1 - 1
13.5%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 1.03 (league 1.48), Səbail = 0.96 (league 1.22)
| Səbail | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 13.7% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 32.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1