Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.48)
1.92 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 22.0% | 56.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baku Sportinq | 0 | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 39% | 50% |
| Defense | 72% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 55% | 50% | 52% | 55% | 80% | 67% |
| Draws | 27% | 40% | 33% | 45% | 10% | 29% |
| Loses | 18% | 10% | 14% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
Form: Baku Sportinq: DWWDLDWDWWWWDWWDLWDLW • Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 21 | 26 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 71% | 95% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 14% | 71% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 24% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baku Sportinq | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Safa Baku
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away2.05 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Baku Sportinq
vs
Safa Baku
Expected goals
1.04
Baku Sportinq xG
League Avg: 1.48
Total
2.95
1.92
Safa Baku xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
20.0%
Draw
22.0%
Away
56.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
Tip
0 - 1
10.0%
Tip
1 - 2
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
83%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Baku Sportinq = 1.04 (league 1.48), Safa Baku = 1.92 (league 1.22)
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baku Sportinq | 0 | 5.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 56.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1