Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Stade Amahoro
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.13)
0.44 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 35.5% | 16.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.8%
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gasogi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 20% |
| Defense | 70% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Wins | 80% | 17% | 45% | 40% | 43% | 42% |
| Draws | 20% | 67% | 45% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 40% | 29% | 33% |
Form: APR: WWDDWLWDWDD • Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | APR | Gasogi United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 9% | 25% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | APR | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : APR or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ 10Bet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away7.75 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.62 @ Superbet
No1.45 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
APR
vs
Gasogi United
Expected goals
0.99
APR xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
1.44
0.44
Gasogi United xG
League Avg: 0.90
1x2 probabilities
Home
48.3%
Draw
35.5%
Away
16.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
23.8%
Tip
1 - 0
23.6%
Tip
2 - 0
11.7%
More chances
1.5+
54%
Chance
2.5+
38%
Chance
3.5+
27%
Chance
BTTS
53%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): APR = 0.99 (league 1.13), Gasogi United = 0.44 (league 0.90)
| Gasogi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 16.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1