Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 02:00 •
Sky Stadium
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.56)
1.12 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 27.3% | 31.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Central Coast Mariners | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLL • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 25% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Central Coast Mariners
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Wellington Phoenix
vs
Central Coast Mariners
Expected goals
1.31
Wellington Phoenix xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.43
1.12
Central Coast Mariners xG
League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.7%
Draw
27.3%
Away
31.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
Tip
1 - 0
11.5%
Tip
0 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
80%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.31 (league 1.56), Central Coast Mariners = 1.12 (league 1.43)
| Central Coast Mariners | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 14 , vtd1