A-League — Australia
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 02:00 • Sky Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.58) 1.11 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 27.5% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 9.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.7% 13.0% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack56%56%
Defense0%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Played538538
Wins40%0%25%20%33%25%
Draws0%67%25%40%0%25%
Loses60%33%50%40%67%50%

Form: Wellington Phoenix: DWDLLWLL • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLL

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
GF total6410639
GF avg1.21.31.31.21.01.1
GA total86147512
GA avg1.62.01.81.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%75%75%
1.538%50%25%63%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-20-1
Biggest losses1-33-11-22-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricWellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals55%45%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Central Coast Mariners

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix = 1.29 (league 1.58), Central Coast Mariners = 1.11 (league 1.45)

Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix 0 9.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.7% 13.0% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.4% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 14 , vtd1