Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.56)
0.77 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | 27.6% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Macarthur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melbourne Victory | 0 | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 67% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 44% | 36% | 40% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Draws | 33% | 18% | 25% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 45% | 35% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLLWLWDWDD • Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDLDWDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 75% | 65% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 6-2 | 4-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melbourne Victory | Macarthur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.81 @ 1xBet
Draw4.28 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 1.39 (league 1.56), Macarthur = 0.77 (league 1.43)
| Macarthur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melbourne Victory | 0 | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 20.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
