A-League — Australia
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 08:00 • AAMI Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.56) 0.77 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 27.6% 20.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.5% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack67%27%
Defense53%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Macarthur
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins44%36%40%27%33%30%
Draws33%18%25%36%33%35%
Loses22%45%35%36%33%35%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLLWLWDWDD • Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDLDWDDLLL

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total161430151025
GF avg1.81.31.51.41.11.3
GA total91726201131
GA avg1.01.51.31.81.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%75%65%85%
1.545%35%25%40%
2.525%10%10%20%
3.510%5%10%10%
4.55%5%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Wins42
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-36-24-5
Biggest losses0-25-20-42-0
Goals For5365
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Form82%18%
Att71%29%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 1xBet
Draw4.28 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Melbourne Victory
vs
Macarthur
A-League • Australia • Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 08:00 • AAMI Park
Expected goals
1.39
Melbourne Victory xG League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.16
0.77
Macarthur xG League Avg: 1.43
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.3%
Draw
27.6%
Away
20.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
0 - 0
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#MelbourneVictory #Macarthur #ALeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 1.39 (league 1.56), Macarthur = 0.77 (league 1.43)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.5% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.0% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 20.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1