Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 •
Stadion Surajaya
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.58)
0.69 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 28.7% | 19.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Persiba Balikpapan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persela Lamongan | 0 | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 83% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 43% | 50% | 46% | 33% | 14% | 23% |
| Draws | 14% | 33% | 23% | 0% | 29% | 15% |
| Loses | 43% | 17% | 31% | 67% | 57% | 62% |
Form: Persela Lamongan: LDWLWWWDWWLDL • Persiba Balikpapan: LWWLLLWLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 69% | 62% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 15% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Persela Lamongan | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Persela Lamongan or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Persela Lamongan = 1.32 (league 1.58), Persiba Balikpapan = 0.69 (league 1.11)
| Persiba Balikpapan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persela Lamongan | 0 | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 19.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
