Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:00 • SportPesa Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.01) 1.59 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 23.8% 39.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.8% 10.8% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack85%54%
Defense54%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murang'a SEAL APS Bomet
HATHAT
Played8101810717
Wins38%40%39%10%29%18%
Draws25%40%33%40%29%35%
Loses38%20%28%50%43%47%

Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWW • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Murang'a SEAL APS Bomet
HATHAT
GF total7162371118
GF avg0.91.61.30.71.61.1
GA total71219121224
GA avg0.91.21.11.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%72%59%76%
1.544%22%29%35%
2.56%11%12%18%
3.50%0%6%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
HATHAT
Clean sheets235224
Failed to score314527

Penalties

MetricMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
Wins31
Draws52
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-31-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-24-2
Goals For2334
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricMurang'a SEALAPS Bomet
Form86%14%
Att61%39%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Murang'a SEAL or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away2.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 1.52 (league 1.01), APS Bomet = 1.59 (league 0.91)

APS Bomet
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murang'a SEAL 0 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.8% 10.8% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.6% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 39.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1