Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:00 •
SportPesa Arena
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.00)
1.64 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4% | 23.5% | 40.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 85% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 40% | 39% | 10% | 29% | 18% |
| Draws | 25% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 29% | 35% |
| Loses | 38% | 20% | 28% | 50% | 43% | 47% |
Form: Murang'a SEAL: LWLLLDWDDDDDWWWLWW • APS Bomet: LLLWLDDLWDWDLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 72% | 59% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 22% | 29% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 11% | 12% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Murang'a SEAL | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Murang'a SEAL or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away2.99 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Murang'a SEAL = 1.53 (league 1.00), APS Bomet = 1.64 (league 0.88)
| APS Bomet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 40.0%
vtt 3 , vtd1
