Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Hartsdown Park
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.98)
2.18 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 17.9% | 28.8% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.5%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Margate | 0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 50% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 64% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Draws | 18% | 50% | 35% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 18% | 25% | 22% | 33% | 64% | 48% |
Form: Margate: DLDDWDWLWLWDDWDWWWWDLLW • Ashford United: LDLDWLLWLWLLDLWLWLDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 24 | 53 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 22 | 40 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Margate | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 91% | 78% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 61% | 52% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 22% | 35% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 22% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-2 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Margate | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Margate or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Margate = 2.76 (league 1.98), Ashford United = 2.18 (league 1.54)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Margate | 0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 28.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1