Premier League
— Uganda
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 17:00 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.36)
1.32 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vipers | 0 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 60% | 70% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
Form: Vipers: WWWWDWDDWW • Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vipers | Mbarara City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 60% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 18% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vipers | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 71.2% | 28.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Vipers or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.20 @ Bet365
Draw6.10 @ Unibet
Away17.50 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.44 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vipers
vs
Mbarara City
Expected goals
3.53
Vipers xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
4.85
1.32
Mbarara City xG
League Avg: 0.85
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.7%
Draw
11.7%
Away
9.8%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
7.6%
Tip
4 - 1
6.7%
Tip
2 - 1
6.4%
More chances
1.5+
83%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
82%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vipers = 3.53 (league 1.36), Mbarara City = 1.32 (league 0.85)
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vipers | 0 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 9.8%
vtt 4 , vtd1