Premier League
— Uganda
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 13:00 •
Kiira Road Police Arena
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.37)
1.39 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4% | 26.4% | 41.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| KCCA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 100% | 90% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 83% | 60% | 73% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Form: Police: DWDLWWWLWDW • KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Police | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | KCCA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 82% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 27% | 55% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | KCCA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or KCCA
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.17 (league 1.37), KCCA = 1.39 (league 0.86)
| KCCA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 41.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1