KCCA vs UPDF - footywow

Premier League — Uganda

Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 13:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium

Match Finished

KCCA

4 - 0

UPDF

Expected Goals

2.51 (league 1.36) 1.04 (league 0.85)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
65.1%	16.9%	13.6%

best score tips

2 - 1

9.4%

2 - 0

9.1%

3 - 1

7.9%

Score & goals probability table

		UPDF
		0	1	2	3	4	5
KCCA	0	2.9%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	7.2%	7.5%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	9.1%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	7.6%	7.9%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	4.8%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	2.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	KCCA	UPDF
Played	5	5
Form	67%	33%
Attack	31%	31%
Defense	75%	69%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	KCCA			UPDF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	7	13	6	7	13
Wins	83%	43%	62%	17%	29%	23%
Draws	17%	29%	23%	17%	14%	15%
Loses	0%	29%	15%	67%	57%	62%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWWLD • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDDLL

League goals

Metric	KCCA			UPDF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	6	17	4	8	12
GF avg	1.8	0.9	1.3	0.7	1.1	0.9
GA total	5	6	11	6	13	19
GA avg	0.8	0.9	0.8	1.0	1.9	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	KCCA		UPDF
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	69%	69%	69%	69%
1.5	46%	15%	23%	46%
2.5	8%	0%	0%	15%
3.5	8%	0%	0%	8%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	KCCA			UPDF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	2	4	2	2	4
Failed to score	1	3	4	3	1	4

Penalties

Metric	KCCA	UPDF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	KCCA	UPDF
Wins	5	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-2	1-2	2-0	0-1
Biggest losses	—	2-0	1-2	5-1
Goals For	4	2	2	2
Goals Against	2	2	2	5

Model comparison

Metric	KCCA	UPDF
Form	67%	33%
Att	50%	50%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	69%	31%
H2h	85%	15%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	65.7%	34.3%

Advice: Double chance : KCCA or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Bet365

Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle

Away9.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet

No1.85 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • KCCA vs UPDF

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

KCCA

UPDF

Premier League • Uganda • Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 13:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium

Expected goals

2.51

KCCA xG League Avg: 1.36

Total

3.55

1.04

UPDF xG League Avg: 0.85

1x2 probabilities

Home

65.1%

Draw

16.9%

Away

13.6%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 1

9.4%

Tip

2 - 0

9.1%

Tip

3 - 1

7.9%

More chances

1.5+

72%

Chance

2.5+

51%

Chance

3.5+

36%

Chance

BTTS

69%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Kcca #Updf #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 2.51 (league 1.36), UPDF = 1.04 (league 0.85)

		UPDF
		0	1	2	3	4	5
KCCA	0	2.9%	3.0%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	7.2%	7.5%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	9.1%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	7.6%	7.9%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	4.8%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	2.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	KCCA	UPDF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1