Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:30 • CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.53) 2.81 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 13.0% 72.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.9%
0 - 3
10.2%
1 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
SL Benfica W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP W 0 2.8% 7.7% 10.9% 10.2% 7.2% 4.0%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP WSL Benfica W
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack61%100%
Defense67%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.222 | 4.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP W SL Benfica W
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%75%100%86%
Draws33%25%29%25%0%14%
Loses33%0%14%0%0%0%

Form: Sporting CP W: WWDWLDW • SL Benfica W: DWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Sporting CP W SL Benfica W
HATHAT
GF total51419161127
GF avg1.73.52.74.03.73.9
GA total426224
GA avg1.30.50.90.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP WSL Benfica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%86%43%
1.571%14%86%14%
2.543%14%71%0%
3.529%0%57%0%
4.514%0%43%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP WSL Benfica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSporting CP WSL Benfica W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricSporting CP WSL Benfica W
Wins20
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-68-01-5
Biggest losses2-3———
Goals For2685
Goals Against3121

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP WSL Benfica W
Form35%65%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : SL Benfica W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.25 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP W = 0.78 (league 1.53), SL Benfica W = 2.81 (league 1.71)

SL Benfica W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP W 0 2.8% 7.7% 10.9% 10.2% 7.2% 4.0%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.5% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 72.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1