Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:30 •
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.55)
3.22 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 10.2% | 73.5% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.3%
0 - 2
9.6%
0 - 4
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| SL Benfica W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 1.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 61% | 100% |
| Defense | 67% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 22 | 4.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 75% | 100% | 86% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Sporting CP W: WWDWLDW • SL Benfica W: DWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 86% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 14% | 71% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 57% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 43% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-6 | 8-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting CP W | SL Benfica W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : SL Benfica W and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.25 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.03 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sporting CP W
vs
SL Benfica W
Expected goals
0.77
Sporting CP W xG
League Avg: 1.55
Total
3.99
3.22
SL Benfica W xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
5.5%
Draw
10.2%
Away
73.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 3
10.3%
Tip
0 - 2
9.6%
Tip
0 - 4
8.3%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
78%
Chance
3.5+
55%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP W = 0.77 (league 1.55), SL Benfica W = 3.22 (league 1.49)
| SL Benfica W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP W | 0 | 1.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.5% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 73.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1