Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:30 •
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Expected Goals
3.28 (league 1.22)
0.05 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 84.1% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
19.2%
4 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| CF Montreal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| New York Red Bulls | 0 | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 21.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 19% | 0% |
| Defense | 94% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 100% | 100% |
Form: New York Red Bulls: WW • CF Montreal: LL
League goals
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | New York Red Bulls | CF Montreal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 79.3% | 20.7% |
Advice: Winner : New York Red Bulls
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away5.80 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): New York Red Bulls = 3.28 (league 1.22), CF Montreal = 0.05 (league 0.97)
| CF Montreal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| New York Red Bulls | 0 | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 21.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.1% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 0.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
