Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.60) 0.64 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 29.9% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cancún 0 15.1% 9.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCancúnTepatitlán
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack83%83%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cancún Tepatitlán
HATHAT
Played131326151429
Wins54%46%50%53%21%38%
Draws31%23%27%20%50%34%
Loses15%31%23%27%29%28%

Form: Cancún: WWWWDWLWWDWWDLLDWLDWLWLWDD • Tepatitlán: DDWWWDDLDWLLDLWDLLDWWDWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Cancún Tepatitlán
HATHAT
GF total261642231639
GF avg2.01.21.61.51.11.3
GA total81523121426
GA avg0.61.20.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCancúnTepatitlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%62%69%66%
1.535%23%38%17%
2.523%4%21%7%
3.515%0%7%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCancúnTepatitlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets64106410
Failed to score235369

Penalties

MetricCancúnTepatitlán
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCancúnTepatitlán
Wins43
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-11-23-2
Goals For5444
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCancúnTepatitlán
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cancún or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.71 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Cancún
vs
Tepatitlán
Liga de Expansión MX • Mexico • Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.25
Cancún xG League Avg: 1.60
Total
1.89
0.64
Tepatitlán xG League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
50.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away
19.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
18.8%
Tip
0 - 0
15.1%
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
#Cancún #Tepatitlán #LigaDeExpansiónMx #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Cancún = 1.25 (league 1.60), Tepatitlán = 0.64 (league 1.03)

Tepatitlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cancún 0 15.1% 9.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 19.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1