Ligue A — Burundi
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.44) 0.63 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 30.3% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympic Star 0 15.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olympic Star Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%23%32%17%23%20%
Draws33%31%32%50%15%32%
Loses25%46%36%33%62%48%

Form: Olympic Star: DWWWDLLLDDWLWLLWLLWDDWDLD • Le Messager Ngozi: DWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Olympic Star Le Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
GF total13152881321
GF avg1.11.21.10.71.00.8
GA total10172772128
GA avg0.81.31.10.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%76%52%72%
1.528%28%20%24%
2.512%4%8%12%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
HATHAT
Clean sheets426707
Failed to score4598412

Penalties

MetricOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
Wins31
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-54-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-02-34-1
Goals For3543
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricOlympic StarLe Messager Ngozi
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Olympic Star or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olympic Star = 1.22 (league 1.44), Le Messager Ngozi = 0.63 (league 1.27)

Le Messager Ngozi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympic Star 0 15.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 19.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1