Super League
— Kenya
Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.15)
0.67 (league 0.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2% | 17.5% | 9.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Equity Bank | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MOFA | 0 | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 92% | 58% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 38% | 47% | 75% | 17% | 50% |
| Draws | 43% | 38% | 40% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 50% | 29% |
Form: MOFA: WWLDDDLWDWWWDDW • Equity Bank: WLDWWDLWDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MOFA | Equity Bank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 53% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 7% | 50% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MOFA | Equity Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : MOFA or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.38 @ Marathonbet
Away4.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.65 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): MOFA = 2.22 (league 1.15), Equity Bank = 0.67 (league 0.71)
| Equity Bank | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MOFA | 0 | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 9.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
