Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 10:00 •
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.31)
2.29 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | 15.7% | 74.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 1
13.6%
0 - 3
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Tokyo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JEF United Chiba | 0 | 5.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 75% | 100% | 83% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 100% | 83% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
Form: JEF United Chiba: LLLLWL • FC Tokyo: WWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 67% | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Tokyo
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): JEF United Chiba = 0.53 (league 1.31), FC Tokyo = 2.29 (league 1.14)
| FC Tokyo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JEF United Chiba | 0 | 5.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 74.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
