Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 04:00 •
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.31)
1.72 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 23.8% | 48.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tokyo Verdy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JEF United Chiba | 0 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 80% | 33% | 63% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 75% | 100% | 88% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
Form: JEF United Chiba: LLLLWLLL • Tokyo Verdy: WWWLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tokyo Verdy
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.80 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): JEF United Chiba = 1.22 (league 1.31), Tokyo Verdy = 1.72 (league 1.14)
| Tokyo Verdy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| JEF United Chiba | 0 | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 48.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
