Thu, Jan 15 2026 • 00:15 •
Estadio Municipal Prof. Luiz Augusto de Oliveira
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.32)
0.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 35.5% | 17.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária U20 | 0 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 80% |
| Defense | 90% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 75% | — | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 25% | — | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ferroviária U20: WWDW • Santos U20: WWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferroviária U20 | Santos U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ferroviária U20 or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária U20 = 0.98 (league 1.32), Santos U20 = 0.48 (league 1.26)
| Santos U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária U20 | 0 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 17.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
