Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 12:30 •
Beirut Municipal Stadium
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31)
1.71 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 23.6% | 59.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 8.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 30% | 70% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Wins | 43% | 78% | 63% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 13% |
| Loses | 43% | 22% | 31% | 30% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Al Ahed: WWWWWLWLWLWLWWLD • Safa: DLDLWWWLLLWWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahed | Safa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 44% | 56% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 19% | 38% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahed | Safa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Safa and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Al Ahed
vs
Safa
Expected goals
0.76
Al Ahed xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
2.47
1.71
Safa xG
League Avg: 1.23
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.4%
Draw
23.6%
Away
59.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.5%
Tip
0 - 2
12.3%
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
58%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahed = 0.76 (league 1.31), Safa = 1.71 (league 1.23)
| Safa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 8.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 59.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1