Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.23)
0.56 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 49.0% | 33.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.2%
0 - 1
23.2%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ind. Yumbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orsomarso | 0 | 41.2% | 23.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 38% | 63% |
| Defense | 13% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 30% | 80% | 20% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Orsomarso: WLWDDLLLDW • Ind. Yumbo: DLDDWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Orsomarso | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ind. Yumbo and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.88 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Orsomarso = 0.33 (league 1.23), Ind. Yumbo = 0.56 (league 0.89)
| Ind. Yumbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orsomarso | 0 | 41.2% | 23.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 49.0% · Away win 33.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1
