Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 10:00 •
Academia Vitoria SC
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.23)
1.72 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 23.7% | 47.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes B | 0 | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 57% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 46% | 44% | 67% | 31% | 48% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 25% | 38% | 32% |
| Loses | 42% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 31% | 20% |
Form: Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWDLWLWWLDWWWLL • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDWWDWLWLWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guimaraes B | Academica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 56% | 84% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 48% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guimaraes B | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Academica
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes B = 1.27 (league 1.23), Academica = 1.72 (league 1.05)
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes B | 0 | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 47.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
