Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.25) 0.71 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 22.5% 14.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 8.2% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 10.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeSanjoanense
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack53%40%
Defense67%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Sanjoanense
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%10%35%0%20%10%
Draws20%40%30%60%20%40%
Loses20%50%35%40%60%50%

Form: Fafe: LDDLDWWWLDWDLLWWLDWL • Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDLDLLLLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Fafe Sanjoanense
HATHAT
GF total14112513922
GF avg1.41.11.31.30.91.1
GA total81523201636
GA avg0.81.51.22.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeSanjoanense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%70%65%85%
1.535%25%40%65%
2.510%10%5%25%
3.55%5%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeSanjoanense
HATHAT
Clean sheets516123
Failed to score235347

Penalties

MetricFafeSanjoanense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFafeSanjoanense
Wins31
Draws25
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-4—0-2
Biggest losses0-25-12-43-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricFafeSanjoanense
Form88%13%
Att57%43%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total60.7%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fafe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Unibet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away7.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 1.79 (league 1.25), Sanjoanense = 0.71 (league 1.01)

Sanjoanense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 8.2% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 10.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.2% 9.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 14.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1