Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.23)
0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4% | 22.0% | 13.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sanjoanense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fafe | 0 | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 53% | 40% |
| Defense | 67% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 10% | 35% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 35% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Form: Fafe: LDDLDWWWLDWDLLWWLDWL • Sanjoanense: WDDDDDWDLDLLLLLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fafe | Sanjoanense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 70% | 65% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 25% | 40% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fafe | Sanjoanense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Fafe or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ Unibet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away7.33 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fafe
vs
Sanjoanense
Expected goals
1.82
Fafe xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
2.51
0.69
Sanjoanense xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.4%
Draw
22.0%
Away
13.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.8%
Tip
2 - 0
13.5%
Tip
1 - 1
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 1.82 (league 1.23), Sanjoanense = 0.69 (league 1.05)
| Sanjoanense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fafe | 0 | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 13.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1