Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 17:45 •
Chobani Stadium
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.57)
0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 40.1% | 30.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Nottingham Forest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fenerbahçe | 0 | 27.3% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 56% |
| Defense | 81% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Form: Fenerbahçe: LWWDDWLD • Nottingham Forest: DLWDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fenerbahçe | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 42.3% | 58.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.29 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fenerbahçe
vs
Nottingham Forest
Expected goals
0.64
Fenerbahçe xG
League Avg: 1.57
Total
1.30
0.66
Nottingham Forest xG
League Avg: 1.21
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.2%
Draw
40.1%
Away
30.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
27.3%
Tip
0 - 1
18.1%
Tip
1 - 0
17.4%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fenerbahçe = 0.64 (league 1.57), Nottingham Forest = 0.66 (league 1.21)
| Nottingham Forest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fenerbahçe | 0 | 27.3% | 18.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 30.7%
vtt 9 , vtd1