Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 17:45 • Stadium Rajko Mitić
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56) 0.20 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 48.7% 10.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.9%
1 - 0
27.5%
2 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Crvena Zvezda 0 42.9% 8.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 5.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack31%38%
Defense94%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%60%25%44%
Draws50%0%22%0%0%0%
Loses0%40%22%40%75%56%

Form: FK Crvena Zvezda: DLLWWWWDW • Lille: WWLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric FK Crvena Zvezda Lille
HATHAT
GF total44810212
GF avg1.00.80.92.00.51.3
GA total2466410
GA avg0.50.80.71.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%67%67%
1.50%22%33%22%
2.50%0%22%11%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
Wins42
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-00-1
Biggest losses—2-03-42-1
Goals For1141
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricFK Crvena ZvezdaLille
Form68%32%
Att45%55%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FK Crvena Zvezda or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 10Bet
Away2.54 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Crvena Zvezda = 0.64 (league 1.56), Lille = 0.20 (league 1.22)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Crvena Zvezda 0 42.9% 8.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.5% 5.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 48.7% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1