Premier League
— Uganda
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 17:00 •
MTN Omondi Stadium
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.36)
1.06 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NEC | 0 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NEC | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 80% | 0% |
| Defense | 50% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NEC | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 22% | 29% | 13% | 22% | 18% |
| Draws | 63% | 44% | 53% | 25% | 11% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 63% | 67% | 65% |
Form: NEC: DDLWDLWDDLDWDWDWD • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDDLLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | NEC | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NEC | UPDF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 65% | 53% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 24% | 18% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 6% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NEC | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | NEC | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | NEC | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NEC | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 72.2% | 27.8% |
Advice: Double chance : NEC or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away6.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
NEC
vs
UPDF
Expected goals
2.20
NEC xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
3.27
1.06
UPDF xG
League Avg: 0.85
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.8%
Draw
19.5%
Away
17.1%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
Tip
2 - 0
9.3%
Tip
1 - 1
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): NEC = 2.20 (league 1.36), UPDF = 1.06 (league 0.85)
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NEC | 0 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 17.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1