Welsh Cup — Wales
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Belle Vue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 2.16) 1.66 (league 2.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 24.4% 54.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhyl 0 7.5% 12.5% 10.4% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Played54
Form100%100%
Attack52%71%
Defense76%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rhyl Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played325224
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Rhyl: WWWWW • Caernarfon Town: WWWW

League goals

Metric Rhyl Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total65118715
GF avg2.02.52.24.03.53.8
GA total325123
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRhylCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%50%
1.580%20%100%25%
2.540%0%100%0%
3.50%0%75%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Wins54
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-34-00-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3344
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricRhylCaernarfon Town
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total42.0%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caernarfon Town

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.90 @ 1xBet
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away1.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Rhyl
vs
Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cup • Wales • Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Belle Vue
Expected goals
0.92
Rhyl xG League Avg: 2.16
Total
2.58
1.66
Caernarfon Town xG League Avg: 2.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
20.9%
Draw
24.4%
Away
54.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.5%
Tip
1 - 1
11.6%
Tip
0 - 2
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
77%
Chance
3.5+
55%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
#Rhyl #CaernarfonTown #WelshCup #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Rhyl = 0.92 (league 2.16), Caernarfon Town = 1.66 (league 2.11)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rhyl 0 7.5% 12.5% 10.4% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.4% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 54.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1