Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 18:00 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.65) 1.25 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 27.3% 37.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gudja United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta LucíaGudja United
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack39%11%
Defense61%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Lucía Gudja United
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins13%38%25%33%29%31%
Draws63%25%44%33%57%44%
Loses25%38%31%33%14%25%

Form: Santa Lucía: WLDWLDLLWDDDDWLD • Gudja United: WDDDDLLWWWDWDLDL

League goals

Metric Santa Lucía Gudja United
HATHAT
GF total14142851116
GF avg1.81.81.80.61.61.0
GA total1016268816
GA avg1.32.01.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta LucíaGudja United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%63%
1.544%56%19%31%
2.519%25%6%6%
3.513%6%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta LucíaGudja United
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score224404

Penalties

MetricSanta LucíaGudja United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSanta LucíaGudja United
Wins13
Draws44
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-03-51-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-32-1
Goals For7513
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricSanta LucíaGudja United
Form55%45%
Att78%22%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Lucía or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Lucía = 1.20 (league 1.65), Gudja United = 1.25 (league 1.67)

Gudja United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Lucía 0 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.4% 13.0% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 37.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1