Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 18:00 •
Centenary Stadium
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.64)
1.25 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.2% | 27.2% | 37.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gudja United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Lucía | 0 | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 39% | 11% |
| Defense | 61% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 13% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 63% | 25% | 44% | 33% | 57% | 44% |
| Loses | 25% | 38% | 31% | 33% | 14% | 25% |
Form: Santa Lucía: WLDWLDLLWDDDDWLD • Gudja United: WDDDDLLWWWDWDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 16 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Lucía | Gudja United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% | 19% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 25% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 3-5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Lucía | Gudja United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Lucía or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.08 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Santa Lucía
vs
Gudja United
Expected goals
1.21
Santa Lucía xG
League Avg: 1.64
Total
2.46
1.25
Gudja United xG
League Avg: 1.66
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.2%
Draw
27.2%
Away
37.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
Tip
0 - 1
10.7%
Tip
1 - 0
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
80%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Santa Lucía = 1.21 (league 1.64), Gudja United = 1.25 (league 1.66)
| Gudja United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Lucía | 0 | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 37.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1