Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.19) 0.85 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 29.7% 26.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 12.9% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 7.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaghdadNaft
Played55
Form13%13%
Attack36%18%
Defense0%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baghdad Naft
HATHAT
Played1081871017
Wins30%25%28%43%10%24%
Draws30%13%22%29%40%35%
Loses40%63%50%29%50%41%

Form: Baghdad: LLWWLLWWWLDLDLLDDL • Naft: WLDWDLDDLWLWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Baghdad Naft
HATHAT
GF total117188715
GF avg1.10.91.01.10.70.9
GA total13162951318
GA avg1.32.01.60.71.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaghdadNaft
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%83%53%53%
1.528%44%24%47%
2.56%22%12%6%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaghdadNaft
HATHAT
Clean sheets123448
Failed to score437268

Penalties

MetricBaghdadNaft
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBaghdadNaft
Wins31
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-23-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricBaghdadNaft
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Naft

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baghdad = 1.20 (league 1.19), Naft = 0.85 (league 1.07)

Naft
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 12.9% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.3% 7.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1