Iraqi League
— Iraq
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 20:15 •
Franso Hariri Stadium
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.19)
0.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 25.8% | 22.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Diyala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbil | 0 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 64% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 70% | 44% | 58% | 38% | 30% | 33% |
| Draws | 10% | 44% | 26% | 63% | 20% | 39% |
| Loses | 20% | 11% | 16% | 0% | 50% | 28% |
Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLW • Diyala: WWWDLWDWDLDLDDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erbil | Diyala | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 63% | 89% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 11% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erbil | Diyala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.53 (league 1.19), Diyala = 0.92 (league 1.08)
| Diyala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbil | 0 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 22.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1