Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:45 • Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
8.09 (league 1.11) 1.08 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 0.6% 0.3%
best score tips
5 - 1
3.2%
5 - 0
3.0%
4 - 1
2.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing MontevideoCerro
Played44
Form58%17%
Attack100%20%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 2.52 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Montevideo Cerro
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%25%67%0%50%
Loses50%0%25%33%100%50%

Form: Racing Montevideo: LDWW • Cerro: LLDD

League goals

Metric Racing Montevideo Cerro
HATHAT
GF total6410202
GF avg3.02.02.50.70.00.5
GA total426336
GA avg2.01.01.51.03.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing MontevideoCerro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%100%
1.575%25%0%25%
2.550%25%0%25%
3.525%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing MontevideoCerro
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricRacing MontevideoCerro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing MontevideoCerro
Wins00
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-3——
Biggest losses2-4—0-13-0
Goals For4310
Goals Against4113

Model comparison

MetricRacing MontevideoCerro
Form78%22%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total65.6%34.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Racing Montevideo and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Racing Montevideo = 8.09 (league 1.11), Cerro = 1.08 (league 0.92)

Cerro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% Ā· Draw 0.6% Ā· Away win 0.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1