Racing Montevideo vs Cerro

Primera División - Apertura — Uruguay

Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:45 • Estadio Osvaldo Roberto

Match Finished

Racing Montevideo

1 - 0

Cerro

Expected Goals

7.90 (league 1.14) 1.06 (league 0.94)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
19.1%	0.7%	0.3%

best score tips

5 - 1

3.5%

5 - 0

3.3%

4 - 1

2.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Cerro
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Racing Montevideo	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.1%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.3%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Cerro
Played	4	4
Form	58%	17%
Attack	100%	20%
Defense	40%	40%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2.5	2 \| 0.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.5	6 \| 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

70%

FT probability

3.5+

50%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Racing Montevideo			Cerro
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	3	1	4
Wins	50%	50%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	50%	25%	67%	0%	50%
Loses	50%	0%	25%	33%	100%	50%

Form: Racing Montevideo: LDWW • Cerro: LLDD

League goals

Metric	Racing Montevideo			Cerro
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	4	10	2	0	2
GF avg	3.0	2.0	2.5	0.7	0.0	0.5
GA total	4	2	6	3	3	6
GA avg	2.0	1.0	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Racing Montevideo		Cerro
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	75%	50%	100%
1.5	75%	25%	0%	25%
2.5	50%	25%	0%	25%
3.5	25%	25%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Racing Montevideo			Cerro
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	0	0	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Cerro
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Cerro
Wins	0	0
Draws	1	0
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	1-3	—	—
Biggest losses	2-4	—	0-1	3-0
Goals For	4	3	1	0
Goals Against	4	1	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Cerro
Form	78%	22%
Att	83%	17%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	100%	0%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	55%	45%
Total	65.6%	34.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Racing Montevideo and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet

Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle

Away4.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet

No1.71 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Racing Montevideo vs Cerro

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Racing Montevideo

Cerro

Primera División - Apertura • Uruguay • Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:45 • Estadio Osvaldo Roberto

Expected goals

7.90

Racing Montevideo xG League Avg: 1.14

Total

8.96

1.06

Cerro xG League Avg: 0.94

1x2 probabilities

Home

19.1%

Draw

0.7%

Away

0.3%

Best score tips

Tip

5 - 1

3.5%

Tip

5 - 0

3.3%

Tip

4 - 1

2.2%

More chances

1.5+

95%

Chance

2.5+

70%

Chance

3.5+

50%

Chance

BTTS

72%

Chance

🟨 Cards

3 - 6

Exp.

#RacingMontevideo #Cerro #PrimeraDivisiónApertura #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Racing Montevideo = 7.90 (league 1.14), Cerro = 1.06 (league 0.94)

		Cerro
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Racing Montevideo	0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	1.1%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.1%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	3.3%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 0.7% · Away win 0.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Racing Montevideo	Cerro
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0